INTEGRATED MAINS AND PRELIMS MENTORSHIP (IMPM) KEY (05/04/2025)

INTEGRATED MAINS AND PRELIMS MENTORSHIP (IMPM) 2025 Daily KEY

 
 
 
 
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Total fertility rate (TFR) and Impeachment of a Judge and its significance for the UPSC Exam? Why are topics like Non-tariff barriers (NTBs), Aditya L1 Mission important for both preliminary and main exams? Discover more insights in the UPSC Exam Notes for April 05, 2025

 

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Critical Topics and Their Significance for the UPSC CSE Examination on April 05, 2025

Daily Insights and Initiatives for UPSC Exam Notes: Comprehensive explanations and high-quality material provided regularly for students

 

 

Why are fertility levels declining in India?

For Preliminary Examination:  Total Fertility Rate (TFR), Child Mortality

For Mains Examination: GS III -  Science & Technology

Context:

A comprehensive demographic analysis of global fertility in 204 countries and territories from 1950-2021 has found that fertility is declining globally and that future fertility rates will continue to decline worldwide, remaining low even under successful implementations of pro-natal policies.

Read about:

Total fertility rate (TFR)

Infant mortality rate

 

Key takeaways:

 

India's Fertility Trends

  • The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 highlights India’s transition from a fertility rate of 6.18 in the 1950s to a Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of 1.9 in 2021, which is below the replacement level of 2.1 (the threshold needed for population stability). The study further predicts that India's TFR could drop to 1.04 by 2100, equating to barely one child per woman.
  • This sharp decline has raised concerns about the political and socio-economic consequences, particularly in southern states, which may face a reduction in parliamentary representation following the 2026 delimitation exercise.

Reasons for Fertility Decline

  • Although India has a long-standing family planning program, other factors appear to have contributed significantly to the reduction in fertility rates. These include rising female literacy, increased workforce participation among women, greater empowerment, and changing aspirations.
  • Societal attitudes towards marriage and reproduction have also shifted, with many women choosing to marry later, remain single, or prioritize careers and financial independence over motherhood.
  • Additional contributing factors include increasing infertility rates, abortion rates, and migration, as many young Indians move abroad for education and employment, opting to settle and raise families elsewhere.

Implications of Declining Fertility

The decline in fertility has led to a demographic shift, particularly in southern states, where an aging population, shrinking youth workforce, and increased healthcare and social security demands are becoming significant challenges. States like Kerala are experiencing the effects acutely, with a rising elderly population and high rates of youth migration.

Trends in Southern States

  • Southern states, which achieved replacement-level fertility earlier than the rest of India, are witnessing irreversible fertility declines. Kerala, for instance, reached replacement fertility in 1988, with other southern states following suit by the mid-2000s.
  • Factors such as improved education, women's empowerment, and advancements in social and healthcare sectors contributed to this transition.
  • However, Kerala’s economic growth has been limited, prompting educated youth to migrate in search of better opportunities.
  • By 2036, Kerala's elderly population is expected to surpass its child population, further straining healthcare systems.
  • In response to workforce shortages, Kerala has attracted migrant labor from other states. By 2030, migrant workers could comprise nearly one-sixth of the state’s population, according to estimates by the State Planning Board.

Recommendations

  • Fertility decline is generally irreversible, as evidenced by countries like South Korea, where extensive financial efforts to boost fertility have failed, with the rate dropping from 0.78 in 2022 to 0.73 in 2023.
  • To mitigate the impact of low fertility, demographers recommend socio-economic policies that stimulate economic growth, enhance job opportunities for youth, and leverage the potential of a growing elderly population. These strategies can help offset the long-term effects of sustained sub-replacement fertility rates
 
What is Fertility Rate?
 

The fertility rate is a demographic measure that represents the average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime, based on current birth rates and age-specific fertility rates in a given population.

Key Variants of Fertility Rate:

  • Total Fertility Rate (TFR):
    This is the most commonly used measure and estimates the average number of children a woman would bear if she experiences the current age-specific fertility rates throughout her reproductive years (typically ages 15-49).

  • Replacement Fertility Rate:
    This refers to the fertility level needed to ensure that a population replaces itself from one generation to the next, without migration. For most populations, this rate is approximately 2.1 children per woman. The extra 0.1 accounts for child mortality and other factors.

  • Crude Birth Rate (CBR):
    This is the number of live births per 1,000 people in a population in a given year, but it is less precise than TFR as it doesn't account for the age distribution of the population

 
Follow Up Question
 
1.The total fertility rate is: (HPPSC GS 2018) (MPSC 2015)
 
A. The birth of women divided by the total female population
B. The number of births divided by the total population
C. The number of children a woman will likely bear in her lifetime
D. The births to women of a given age divided by the total number of women at that age
 
Answer (C)
 
The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is a demographic indicator that estimates the average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime, based on the current age-specific fertility rates of a population. It is a key measure for assessing population growth or decline
 
 
 
For Preliminary Examination:  Indian Judiciary, Collegium System, NJAC
 
For Mains Examination: GS II - Indian Polity & Governance
 
Context:
 
On March 28, the Union government notified the repatriation of Justice Yashwant Varma to his parent High Court in Allahabad, where he had previously served as a judge. The decision comes amid allegations that charred currency notes were recovered from his residence after a fire. His transfer was proposed after Delhi High Court Chief Justice D.K. Upadhyaya sought an in-house inquiry into the matter. However, Justice Varma has denied the allegations, calling them a “conspiracy to malign” him
 
Read about:
 
Article 22(1)
 
Collegium System
 
Impeachment of a Judge
 
Key takeaways:
 
 
  • On March 28, the central government officially announced the repatriation of Justice Yashwant Varma to the Allahabad High Court, where he had previously served as a judge.
  • This decision follows allegations that burned currency notes were found at his residence after a fire incident. The proposal for his transfer came after Delhi High Court Chief Justice D.K. Upadhyaya called for an internal inquiry into the matter.
  • Under Article 222(1) of the Constitution, the President, in consultation with the Chief Justice of India (CJI), has the authority to transfer judges between High Courts. This provision has been subject to extensive judicial review, particularly in the First, Second, and Third Judges cases.
  • A key ruling clarified that a judge’s consent is not required for either an initial or subsequent transfer. In the Third Judges case (1998), the Supreme Court further refined the collegium system, mandating that transfer recommendations be made by the CJI in consultation with the four seniormost judges.
  • Additionally, input must be sought from Supreme Court judges who have previously served in the High Court from which the judge is being transferred. Once the collegium finalizes its recommendation, the Law Minister reviews it before advising the Prime Minister, who then forwards it to the President for approval. The transfer is then formally executed through a gazette notification, and the judge assumes office in the new High Court

Criticism of Judicial Transfers

  • A recent report by the International Commission of Jurists (ICJ), a Geneva-based legal body, has expressed serious concerns about judicial independence in India. The report highlights increasing executive interference, a lack of transparency in appointments, and weak accountability mechanisms.
  • One major concern is that judicial transfers, conducted without the affected judge’s consent, are often justified under vague terms such as ‘public interest’ or the ‘better administration of justice’. According to the ICJ, this ambiguity makes it difficult to distinguish between legitimate transfers and those driven by punitive or retaliatory motives.
  • To address these concerns, the ICJ has recommended that Parliament establish a Judicial Council to oversee appointments and transfers based on transparent, objective, and predefined criteria

What Happened to the National Judicial Appointments Commission (NJAC)?

In an effort to address concerns over the collegium system’s lack of transparency, the Narendra Modi-led government proposed a significant overhaul of judicial appointments in 2014. In August of that year, Parliament passed the Constitution (99th Amendment) Act, 2014, and the National Judicial Appointments Commission (NJAC) Act, 2014, creating an independent body to replace the collegium system for selecting Supreme Court and High Court judges.

The NJAC was to be chaired by the CJI and would also include:

  • The two seniormost Supreme Court judges

  • The Union Law Minister

  • Two eminent members from civil society

One of these civil society members was to be nominated by a panel comprising the CJI, Prime Minister, and Leader of the Opposition in the Lok Sabha. The second member was required to belong to the Scheduled Castes (SC), Scheduled Tribes (ST), Other Backward Classes (OBC), or be a woman.

This amendment was widely supported, receiving near-unanimous approval in Parliament, with the only dissent coming from veteran jurist Ram Jethmalani. The legislation was subsequently ratified by 16 state legislatures

 

Follow Up Question

1.India is a member of which among the following? (UPSC 2015) 
1. Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
2. Association of South-East Asian Nations
3. East Asia Summit
Select the correct answer using the code given below.
A. 1 and                             
B. 2 only         
C. 3 only           
D. 1, 2 and 3                       
E.  India is a member of none of them
 
Answer (C)
 
  • Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)India is NOT a member. Although India has expressed interest in joining APEC, it has not been granted membership.

  • Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)India is NOT a member. ASEAN consists of 10 Southeast Asian nations. However, India has strategic ties with ASEAN through the ASEAN-India Dialogue Partnership but is not a member.

  • East Asia Summit (EAS)India is a member. EAS is a regional forum that includes ASEAN + 8 countries (India, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Russia, and the U.S.). India has been a member since its inception in 2005

 
 
 
 
For Preliminary Examination: Current events of national and international significance
 
For Mains Examination: GS III - Economy
 
Context:
 
WITH SOME dialling down of tensions between India and China along the border, policy makers are more open to upgrading bilateral economic relationships now
 
Read about:
 
What is India’s trade balance with China?
 
Non-tariff barriers (NTBs)
 
Key takeaways:
 
  • According to the IBEF website, trade between India and China in FY24 reached $118.40 billion, reflecting a 4% increase from $113.83 billion in FY23.
  • Recent data from the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) indicates that China has reclaimed its position as India's largest trading partner in FY24, surpassing the United States after a two-year interval.
  • China accounted for 15% of India’s total imports during this period. India’s total imports from global markets amounted to $675.42 billion, of which $101.74 billion came from China.
  • There is an emerging perspective in India that strengthening trade ties with China may send a strategic signal to the United States and serve as a hedge in global trade dynamics.
  • Discussions are reportedly underway to ease certain trade and investment restrictions that were introduced following the Galwan Valley clashes in 2020
  • Despite the significant trade volume, China ranks only 22nd in terms of FDI equity inflows into India, with a cumulative investment of $2.5 billion from April 2000 to September 2024.
  • While bilateral trade has expanded, investment flows have not kept pace. Reports suggest that China is keen on increasing investments in India, and Indian policymakers may consider some level of flexibility in this regard

Trade Deficit and Market Challenges

Although trade between the two nations has surged since 2020, it has also led to India's largest trade deficit with any country. This deficit has steadily grown, exceeding $83 billion in 2023. The widening gap is largely due to:

  • India's limited export portfolio, which mainly includes primary commodities.

  • Market access barriers faced by Indian exports in China, particularly in sectors where India holds a competitive advantage, such as pharmaceuticals, IT services, and agricultural products.

 

Policy Considerations and Potential Easing of Restrictions

The Economic Survey 2023-24 has recommended encouraging Chinese investments in India while simultaneously discouraging imports of finished goods that offer minimal opportunities for local value addition.

There are also ongoing discussions within Indian government departments regarding the possibility of relaxing or modifying certain trade and investment restrictions imposed five years ago following the border conflict. Some of these measures, driven by industry demands, include:

  • Relaxing visa restrictions for Chinese professionals.

  • Easing tariff and non-tariff barriers on specific imports.

  • Potential reintroduction of certain banned Chinese apps.

  • Resumption of flights and issuance of visas for Chinese scholars

 
Follow Up Question
 
1.Consider the following countries:
1. Australia
2. Canada
3. China
4. India
5. Japan
6. USA
Which of the above are among the free-trade partners' of ASEAN? (UPSC 2018)
A. 1, 2, 4 and 5         
B.  3, 4, 5 and 6     
C.  1, 3, 4 and 5       
D.  2, 3, 4 and 6
 
Answer (C)
 

ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) has established Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) with several countries. The key free-trade partners of ASEAN include:

  • Australia – Part of the ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand Free Trade Agreement (AANZFTA).

  • China – Engaged in the ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA).

  • India – Involved in the ASEAN-India Free Trade Agreement (AIFTA).

  • Japan – Part of the ASEAN-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership (AJCEP).

While Canada and the USA have economic ties with ASEAN, they are not formal free-trade partners under an FTA framework. Thus, the correct answer includes Australia, China, India, and Japan (1, 3, 4, and 5)

 
 
 
For Preliminary Examination:  Solar Missions, Solar flares
 
For Mains Examination: GS III - Science & technology
 
Context:
 
Recently, the Aditya-L1 Mission, India’s first dedicated space mission for solar studies, has captured a solar flare ‘kernel’ in the lower solar atmosphere, namely the photosphere and the chromosphere
 
Read about:
 
Aditya L1 Mission
 
Solar Flares
 
Key takeaways:
 

The Solar Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (SUIT) onboard the Aditya-L1 mission identified a solar flare ‘kernel’ when it observed an X6.3-class solar flare on February 22, 2024—one of the most powerful types of solar eruptions. This discovery is significant as SUIT detected brightening in the near-ultraviolet spectrum (200-400 nm), providing crucial insights into solar activity.

Understanding the Solar Cycle and the Surge in Solar Missions

1. Solar Cycle Trends and Importance

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the current increase in solar activity and sunspot numbers suggests that the solar cycle may be approaching its peak, although an official confirmation is pending. Scientists believe that the solar maximum presents the best opportunity for launching and studying the Sun. If this window is missed, the next phase of intense solar activity will not occur until 2035-2036.

2. The Solar Cycle

The Sun’s magnetic field operates similarly to that of a bar magnet, with north and south poles created by the continuous motion of electrically charged particles. Roughly every 11 years, the Sun undergoes a magnetic polarity reversal, switching its poles. This periodic transformation is referred to as the solar cycle.

3. Solar Maximum and Minimum

Solar activity on the Sun’s surface is directly influenced by this cycle. When the magnetic field flips, the Sun enters its most active phase, known as the solar maximum. During this period, it emits more frequent and intense bursts of radiation and energetic particles. Once the reversal is complete, solar activity gradually diminishes until the solar minimum begins, marking the start of a new cycle.

4. Sunspots and Their Role

Sunspots—dark, cooler regions with strong magnetic fields—are most abundant during the solar maximum and least frequent during the solar minimum. Scientists monitor the solar cycle by counting sunspots, as they serve as key indicators of solar activity.

5. Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CME)

As the solar cycle progresses, the frequency of solar flares and CMEs (coronal mass ejections) increases.

  • Solar flares result from the sudden release of stored magnetic energy, emitting high-energy radiation and charged particles.

  • CMEs involve the ejection of large amounts of plasma and magnetic fields from the Sun into space.

6. Impacts of Solar Activity

Major solar events significantly affect space weather and Earth’s geospace, leading to:

  • Disruptions in radio communications

  • Interference with satellite functions

  • Potential damage to power grids

  • Increased risks for astronauts and airline passengers

Key Solar Missions

As the solar maximum provides an optimal period for studying the Sun, several significant space missions have been launched:

1. Aditya-L1 Mission (India)

India’s first solar mission, Aditya-L1, was launched on September 2, 2023, to enhance our understanding of the Sun’s radiation, heat, particle flow, and magnetic fields. The spacecraft carries seven payloads, with two of the most crucial instruments being:

  • Visible Emission Line Coronagraph (VLEC)

  • Solar Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (SUIT)

2. Proba-3 (European Space Agency)

The European Space Agency (ESA) launched Proba-3 on December 5, 2024, using ISRO’s PSLV-C59 rocket. This mission marks the first-ever attempt at precision formation flying, where two satellites will travel in a synchronized manner.

  • The Occulter Spacecraft (200 kg) and the Coronagraph Spacecraft (340 kg) will mimic a natural solar eclipse by precisely maneuvering in Earth's orbit, allowing scientists to study the Sun's corona in greater detail.

3. PUNCH Mission (NASA)

NASA’s PUNCH (Polarimeter to UNify the Corona and Heliosphere) Mission was launched on March 11, 2025.

  • The mission comprises four small satellites, each roughly the size of a suitcase, working in unison to create a wide-field view of the Sun’s corona.

  • These satellites will help in mapping the transition of the solar corona into the solar wind, shedding light on how solar material travels through space

 
Follow Up Question
 

1.If a major solar storm (solar flare) reaches the Earth, which of the following are the possible effects on the Earth? (UPSC CSE 2022)

1. GPS and navigation systems could fail.

2. Tsunamis could occur at equatorial regions.

3. Power grids could be damaged.

4. Intense auroras could occur over much of the Earth.

5. Forest fires could take place over much of the planet.

6. Orbits of the satellites could be disturbed.

7. Shortwave radio communication of the aircraft flying over polar regions could be interrupted.

Select the correct answer using the code given below:

(a) 1, 2, 4 and 5 only

(b) 2, 3, 5, 6 and 7 only

(c) 1, 3, 4, 6 and 7 only

(d) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7

 

Answer (c)
 

A major solar storm (solar flare) can have significant effects on Earth’s technological infrastructure and atmospheric conditions. Let's analyze each statement:

  • GPS and navigation systems could fail  (Correct)

    • Solar storms release electromagnetic radiation and charged particles, which can disrupt satellite signals, including GPS and navigation systems.

  • Tsunamis could occur at equatorial regions  (Incorrect)

    • Solar storms do not cause tsunamis. Tsunamis result from underwater earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, or landslides, not solar activity.

  • Power grids could be damaged  (Correct)

    • Geomagnetic storms induced by solar flares can create geomagnetically induced currents (GICs), which can overload and damage power grids.

  • Intense auroras could occur over much of the Earth  (Correct)

    • Solar storms increase the influx of charged particles into Earth’s atmosphere, intensifying auroras, which may be visible at lower latitudes than usual.

  • Forest fires could take place over much of the planet  (Incorrect)

    • While solar storms increase radiation levels, they do not cause forest fires directly. Forest fires are triggered by dry conditions, lightning, or human activities.

  • Orbits of satellites could be disturbed  (Correct)

    • Increased solar radiation heats Earth’s upper atmosphere, causing it to expand and increase drag on satellites, which can alter their orbits.

  • Shortwave radio communication of aircraft flying over polar regions could be interrupted  (Correct)

    • Solar flares release high-energy particles that disrupt shortwave radio signals, especially over the polar regions, affecting aircraft communication

 
 
 
 
For Preliminary Examination: Current events of national and international importance
 
For Mains Examination: GS III - Science & Technology
 
Context:
 
In December last year, Russia announced that it had developed a new, mRNA-based personalised ‘vaccine’ for cancer which would be available free for patients by early 2025. Media reports state that Andrey Kaprin, General Director of the Radiology Medical Research Center of the Russian Ministry of Health, spoke to Radio Rossiya about the vaccine.
 
Read about:
 
What is an mRNA cancer ‘vaccine’?
 
Why does mRNA make great Medicine?
 
 
Key takeaways:
 
 

What is an mRNA Cancer ‘Vaccine’?

mRNA (messenger RNA) vaccines deliver genetic instructions that enable the body's cells to generate an antigen—typically a protein or substance that stimulates an immune response. By recognizing these antigens on cancer cells, the immune system can potentially mount an attack against them.

How Does This Treatment Work?

  • mRNA cancer vaccines function as a form of immunotherapy. Cancer cells often evade immune detection, but immunotherapy enhances the body's natural defenses to identify and eliminate these cells, thereby preventing their spread.
  • Unlike chemotherapy, which can harm healthy cells, this approach selectively targets cancer cells, leading to fewer side effects, explains M. Manickavasagam, head of medical oncology at Sri Ramachandra Medical College, Chennai.
  • In addition to mRNA-based vaccines, other immunotherapy treatments include monoclonal antibodies, CAR T-cell therapy, and immune checkpoint inhibitors. Unlike conventional vaccines designed to prevent disease, these cancer vaccines are intended for patients who already have cancer, aiming to target and destroy tumors, says Arvind Krishnamurthy, head of surgical oncology at the Cancer Institute, WIA, Chennai.
  • Since each patient's tumor has unique antigens, these vaccines are personalized, potentially improving their effectiveness. Unlike COVID-19 mRNA vaccines, which target a single antigen, cancer vaccines can be designed to attack multiple antigens simultaneously.

Is Russia the Only Country Developing Cancer mRNA Vaccines?

No, multiple countries are actively researching mRNA cancer vaccines.

  • In the United Kingdom, the National Health Service (NHS) launched the Cancer Vaccine Launch Pad, a clinical trial initiative aimed at accelerating the development and availability of personalized mRNA cancer vaccines for diagnosed patients.
  • In the United States, biopharmaceutical company CureVac announced in September 2023 that its CVGBM cancer vaccine demonstrated promising immune responses in a phase 1 trial for glioblastoma (a type of brain cancer).
  • Globally, over 120 clinical trials are underway to evaluate the potential of mRNA-based cancer vaccines.
 
Follow Up Question
 
1.In the context of vaccines manufactured to prevent COVID-19 pandemic,
consider the following statements : (UPSC CSE 2022)
1. The Serum Institute of India produced COVID-19 vaccine named Covishield using mRNA platform.
2. Sputnik V vaccine is manufactured using vector based platform.
3. COVAXIN is an inactivated pathogen based vaccine.
Which of the statements given above are correct ?
A. 1 and 2 only
B. 2 and 3 only
C. 1 and 3 only
D. 1, 2 and 3
 
Answer (B)
 
  • Covishield:

    • Incorrect: Covishield is not based on the mRNA platform. It is produced by the Serum Institute of India in collaboration with AstraZeneca, using the viral vector-based platform (similar to the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine).
  • Sputnik V:

    • Correct: Sputnik V is indeed a vector-based vaccine developed by Russia's Gamaleya Research Institute. It uses a viral vector platform involving adenoviruses to deliver genetic material for the production of the spike protein.
  • COVAXIN:

    • Correct: COVAXIN is an inactivated pathogen-based vaccine, developed by Bharat Biotech, which uses a killed or inactivated form of the SARS-CoV-2 virus to stimulate an immune response.
 
 
 
For Preliminary Examination:  Stubble Burning, PM2.5, PM10, Air Quality Index (AQI)
 
For Mains Examination: GS III - Environment & Ecology
 
 
Context:
 
The amount of biomass burned in Punjab and Haryana does not always determine the air quality of heavily urbanised Delhi-NCR even during the core rice-stubble burning period in October-November
 
Read about:
 
What is particulate matter (PM2.5)?
 
What is Graded Response Action Plan (GRAP)?
 
 
Key takeaways:
 
 
  • A study published in January 2025, based on field measurements, airmass trajectories, and particle dispersion simulations, concluded that there is no direct relationship between stubble-burning events in Punjab and Haryana and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) levels in Delhi-NCR.
  • The research also highlights that crop residue burning in these states contributes only about 14% of PM2.5, making it a minor factor in the particulate matter concentration in the Delhi-NCR region.
  • Despite a more than 50% reduction in stubble-burning events from 2015 to 2023, PM2.5 levels in Delhi-NCR remained stable, suggesting other factors at play. The findings were published in the journal Climate and Atmospheric Science.
  • Since 2015, high-quality PM2.5 measurements have been conducted at the U.S. Embassy in New Delhi. While stubble-burning events in Punjab and Haryana decreased by 31% and 37% respectively in 2023 compared to the previous year, there was still a 20% rise in PM2.5 levels at the embassy.
  • This further underscores the lack of a linear connection between stubble-burning and PM2.5 levels in Delhi-NCR. In August 2022, a network of 30 sensors was deployed across rural and urban areas of Punjab, Haryana, and Delhi.
  • Data from these sensors aligned closely with those from the U.S. Embassy’s instrument. While stubble burning nearly ceases after November, the air quality index in Delhi-NCR has consistently been in the "very poor" to "severe" category from December to February since 2016, indicating that factors beyond stubble burning are significant contributors to air pollution.
  • The authors note that the volume of biomass burned in Punjab and Haryana does not always correlate with the air quality in urbanized areas like Delhi-NCR, especially during peak rice-stubble burning months (October-November). 
  • While there is some correlation between stubble burning and PM2.5 levels in Delhi-NCR when wind conditions are favorable, wind patterns alone do not explain PM2.5 levels.
  • Other meteorological factors and local emissions play a significant role, as noted by Dr. Poonam Mangaraj from RIHN, Kyoto, Japan, the paper's first author. She explains that when dispersion conditions are unfavorable—such as low wind speeds or temperature inversions—pollutants may not disperse effectively, weakening or eliminating the correlation.
  • Data from sensors recording PM2.5 and carbon monoxide (CO) show a persistent accumulation of fine particulate matter and CO in Delhi at night, suggesting local emissions as a significant factor.
  • If stubble burning were the primary cause of air pollution in Delhi-NCR, CO levels would not increase at night. The study observed that day-night differences in PM2.5 levels in Delhi-NCR were about 20%, while CO concentration was about 67% higher at night in 2023 compared to the daytime, and 48% higher in 2022.
  • In contrast, day-night variations were more distinct in Punjab and Haryana during intense stubble-burning periods.
  • Therefore, the higher CO levels at night in Delhi-NCR suggest that sources other than stubble burning contribute significantly to air pollution
 
Follow Up Question
 

1.In the cities of our country, which among the following atmospheric gases are normally considered in calculating the value of Air Quality Index? ( UPSC 2016)

  1. Carbon dioxide
  2. Carbon monoxide
  3. Nitrogen dioxide
  4. Sulfur dioxide
  5. Methane

Select the correct answer using the code given below:

(a) 1, 2 and 3 only   

(b) 2, 3 and 4 only     

(c) 1, 4 and 5 only         

(d) 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5

Answer (b)
 

The Air Quality Index (AQI) typically considers the following atmospheric gases for calculating air quality:

  • Carbon monoxide (CO)
  • Nitrogen dioxide (NO2)
  • Sulfur dioxide (SO2)

These pollutants are important indicators of air quality, and their concentrations are used to calculate AQI.

  • Carbon dioxide (CO2) and Methane (CH4) are not directly included in the AQI calculation since they are not major contributors to immediate health risks associated with air quality in urban areas. CO2, for example, is primarily associated with climate change, and methane is a greenhouse gas

 

 

River interlinking, the fount of environmental disaster

For Preliminary Examination: Current events of national and international importance

For Mains Examination: GS III - Environment & ecology

Context:

On December 25, 2024, Prime Minister Narendra Modi laid the foundation stone for the Ken-Betwa River Link Project, which aims to solve the water scarcity in the Bundelkhand region that covers parts of Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. The project also includes the construction of a dam located within the Panna Tiger Reserve, raising concerns about its submergence. Upon completion, this project will link the supposed water surplus Ken river with the Betwa in drought-stricken Bundelkhand — an area that had 58% forest cover in 1938

 

Read about:

Ken-Betwa River linking model

Panna Tiger reserve

 

Key Takeaways:

 

  • This ₹45,000 crore project was initiated despite opposition from experts, including members of an empowered committee appointed by the Supreme Court of India, and bypassing laws that impose strict conditions on hydroelectric power projects. The idea of large-scale technological interventions to solve water-related challenges has gained traction. Politicians are increasingly promoting river interlinking as a geoengineering solution to India's ongoing water scarcity.
  • The concept of inter-basin water transfer was first proposed 130 years ago by Sir Arthur Cotton, who designed irrigation dams in the Godavari and Krishna river valleys. This idea was later refined by M. Visvesvaraya, an early figure in Indian engineering, and further expanded by K.L. Rao and Captain Dinshaw J. Dastur in the 1970s and 1980s. Initially called the ‘National Water Grid’, the idea later evolved into the ‘River-Interlinking Project’ (ILR), which aims to transfer surplus water from the Ganga and Brahmaputra rivers to water-deficient regions in central and southern India.
  • The National Water Development Agency (NWDA) was set up in 1982 to carry out surveys, investigations, and prepare feasibility reports for the National Perspective Plan. The NWDA identified 30 potential links for further study, divided into 14 Himalayan and 16 Peninsular river links. These links are expected to help mitigate floods and droughts, improve rural income, and address agricultural water scarcity.
  • The project’s estimated cost of ₹5.5 lakh crore does not account for social, environmental, or operational expenses, and the burden of these costs will ultimately fall on the public. The idea of linking rivers to connect surplus rivers with water-deficient ones is flawed, as it ignores the massive environmental costs and the eventual destruction of rivers and delta ecosystems.
  • Human-induced disruptions in natural hydrographic systems will devastate ecological niches, leading to severe consequences for long-term societal well-being, which will be a grave disservice to future generations.
  • Additionally, the impacts of climate change on rainfall and river flows could worsen the situation. It remains unclear how the country’s commitment to mitigating climate change aligns with its plans to manipulate rivers.
  • Policymakers fail to understand that there is no “free” surplus water in rivers. Simple calculations that suggest tapping water “lost to the sea” overlook the eco-hydrological realities of the issue. Proponents of these projects disregard the river as an integral part of the drainage basin, including the deltaic plains and its interaction with the sea.
  • The ecosystem services provided by free-flowing rivers include the flushing of silt from riverbeds into coastal waters to form deltas. Floodwater is not simply ‘surplus’; it plays a crucial role in land fertility, groundwater recharge, and maintaining biodiversity, which sustains the livelihoods of millions of marginalized people.
  • Diverting river water can starve deltaic regions of water, disrupting the balance of saltwater from the sea. This shift damages the delta ecosystem. The Indus Delta offers a poignant example. In her book Empires of the Indus: The Story of a River (2008), Alice Albinia describes how the Indus Delta, once the richest in Pakistan, was impoverished after the British constructed barrages, a practice continued by Pakistan after 1947.
  • India has its own examples of such damage, with the downstream regions of the Narmada River suffering since the Sardar Sarovar dam was completed.
  • Global examples of river channelization have also shown disastrous results. In Florida, the channelization of the Kissimmee River in 1954 to reduce flooding led to an environmental catastrophe, with the loss of wetlands, and significant resources are now being invested to restore its natural state. Similarly, the Aral Sea, once one of the largest lakes in the world, has become a desert after irrigation projects diverted the rivers that fed it, a legacy of the Soviet Union's geoengineering projects

 

The underlying causes of India’s water crisis

  • India's water crisis is worsening, primarily due to ineffective water management, harmful environmental practices, unclear laws, and corruption. To address this, a national water policy should adopt an integrated approach to watershed management, with active involvement from local communities in monitoring the hydrological cycle.
  • Collaboration with hydrologists, engineers, and biologists is necessary. The policy should prioritize effective aquifer management by regulating water consumption. Farmers must be involved in developing strategies for more efficient irrigation practices.
  • The government has limited authority over wastewater management and should focus on creating innovative water reuse programs. Additionally, a thorough, interdisciplinary study of river basins is crucial before embarking on large-scale water transfer initiatives
Ken and Betwa rivers
 
  • The Ken and Betwa rivers are two important rivers in central India that play a significant role in the region’s water supply, agriculture, and ecology.
  • The Ken River originates from the Vindhya Range in Madhya Pradesh, flowing primarily through the state before it merges with the Yamuna River in Uttar Pradesh. It is a tributary of the Yamuna and stretches across a distance of approximately 427 kilometers.
  • The Ken River basin is critical for the areas it flows through, as it supports agriculture, irrigation, and local water needs.
  • The river also has historical significance, as the Ken valley and its surrounding areas are home to many cultural and religious sites. The river's water has been used for irrigation for centuries, though it faces challenges such as water scarcity and pollution due to industrial activities and growing urbanization in its catchment area.
  • The Betwa River, also originating in the Vindhya Range, flows through the states of Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh. The Betwa spans about 590 kilometers and is another important tributary of the Yamuna.
  • The river is vital for the regions it flows through, serving agricultural needs, drinking water supply, and generating hydropower. The Betwa, like the Ken, faces issues such as over-extraction of water and pollution from industrial and agricultural runoff.
  • The river basin is home to several communities that depend on it for sustenance and livelihoods. Both rivers are integral to the local ecosystem, supporting biodiversity, though they are increasingly under pressure from human activity and climate change.
  • The Ken and Betwa rivers have been at the center of debates about interlinking rivers in India. The government proposed a project to connect the Ken and Betwa rivers through a series of dams and canals in an effort to address water scarcity in the drought-prone Bundelkhand region.
  • While proponents argue that the project could provide much-needed water for irrigation and drinking, critics highlight the potential environmental consequences, such as disrupting ecosystems and affecting the flow of water to downstream areas.
  • In summary, the Ken and Betwa rivers are crucial water resources for central India, supporting agriculture, drinking water supplies, and local communities. However, their future is uncertain due to the challenges posed by over-exploitation, pollution, and large-scale infrastructure projects like river interlinking
Follow Up Question
 

1.Which of the following statements is/are correct regarding the Ken and Betwa rivers?

  1. The Ken River is a tributary of the Yamuna and flows primarily through Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh.
  2. The Betwa River is one of the major tributaries of the Ganga.
  3. The proposed interlinking of the Ken and Betwa rivers aims to address water scarcity in the Bundelkhand region.
  4. Both rivers face challenges related to pollution and over-extraction of water.

Select the correct answer from the options below:

A) 1 and 3 only
B) 1, 3, and 4 only
C) 1, 2, and 3 only
D) 2 and 4 only

Answer (B)
 
  • Statement 1 is correct: The Ken River is a tributary of the Yamuna, and it primarily flows through Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh.
  • Statement 2 is incorrect: The Betwa River is a tributary of the Yamuna, not the Ganga.
  • Statement 3 is correct: The proposed interlinking of the Ken and Betwa rivers aims to address water scarcity, especially in the Bundelkhand region.
  • Statement 4 is correct: Both rivers face issues of pollution and over-extraction of water, impacting their ecosystems and local water supply
 
 
 

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