EARTHQUAKE
1. Context
2. What is an Earthquake?
- An earthquake is an intense shaking of the ground caused by movement under the earth’s surface. It happens when two blocks of the earth suddenly slip past one another, according to USGS.
- This releases stored-up ‘elastic strain’ energy in the form of seismic waves, which spreads through the earth and cause the shaking of the ground.
- An earthquake is the sudden shaking or trembling of the earth’s surface caused by the release of energy stored in the earth’s crust.
- This energy is usually released when rocks deep underground break or slip along faults due to accumulated stress, sending out seismic waves that make the ground vibrate
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The earth’s crust is made of huge slabs of rock called tectonic plates, which are constantly moving slowly.
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When these plates grind against, collide, or move past each other, stress builds up at their boundaries or within faults.
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Once the stress exceeds the strength of rocks, they break suddenly, releasing energy in the form of seismic waves.
3. How do exactly Earthquakes Occur?
- As we know, the earth’s outermost surface, crust, is fragmented into tectonic plates. The edges of the plates are called plate boundaries, which are made up of faults.
The tectonic plates constantly move at a slow pace, sliding past one another and bumping into each other. - As the edges of the plates are quite rough, they get stuck with one another while the rest of the plate keeps moving.
- Earthquake occurs when the plate has moved far enough and the edges unstick on one of the faults.
- The location below the earth’s surface where the earthquake starts is called the hypocenter, and the location directly above it on the surface of the earth is called the epicenter.”
4. Earthquake waves
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There are two types of body waves. They are called P and S-waves.
5. Measuring of Earthquakes
- The earthquake events are scaled either according to the magnitude or intensity of the shock.
- The magnitude scale is known as the Richter scale. The magnitude indicates the energy released during the quake. It is expressed in absolute numbers 0-10.
- The intensity scale is named after Mercalli, an Italian seismologist. The intensity scale indicates the visible damage caused by the event. The range of intensity scale is from 1-12.
6. Turkey and Syria lie in a seismically active region
- The region where the earthquake struck lies along a well-known seismic fault line called the Anatolia tectonic block that runs through northern, central, and eastern Turkey.
- It is a seismically active zone-though not as active as, say, the Himalayan region which is one of the most dangerous regions in the world from the perspective of earthquakes.
- Large earthquakes, of magnitude 5 or higher, have not been very frequent in recent years. According to USGS, only three earthquakes of magnitude 6 or more have happened in the region since 1970. The last major quake in this area came in January 2020.
- The seismicity in this region is a result of interactions between the African, Eurasian, and Arabian plates. The Arabian plate is known to be pushing northward, which results in a slight westward movement for the Anatolian plate, where Turkey is located.
- The earthquake happened around the near-vertical fault line on the eastern Anatolian block, close to the Syrian border.
7. Shallow Earthquakes cause much greater damage
- Earthquakes in Turkey emerged from relatively shallow depths which made them devastating. The first earthquake, of magnitude 7.8, originated 17.9 km below the earth's surface.
- All the subsequent ones, including one of 7.5 magnitudes, emerged from even closer to the surface.
- Shallow earthquakes are generally more devastating because they carry greater energy when they emerge on the surface.
- Deeper earthquakes lose much of their energy by the time they come to the surface. The deeper quakes spread farther though- the seismic waves move conically upwards to the surface even as they lose energy while traveling greater distances and hence cause less damage.
8. Can earthquakes be predicted?
- An accurate prediction of an earthquake requires some sort of a precursory signal from within the earth that indicates a big quake is on the way.
- Moreover, the signal must occur only before large earthquakes so that it doesn’t indicate every small movement within the earth’s surface. Currently, there is no equipment to find such precursors, even if they exist.
- Theoretically, it is possible to offer a lead time of a few seconds between the time of the origin of the earthquake and the time it reaches the Earth’s surface.
- Seismic waves travel significantly slower than the speed of light between 5 and 13 km
per second. So if the earthquake is detected as soon as it is triggered, information about it can be related a few seconds ahead of it reaching the ground. - Such systems are already in use in some locations to issue alerts about earthquakes. However, these are not predictions. The alerts are issued post-event.
- Attempts to find reliable predictors of earthquakes have not been fruitful so far. Scientists have been able to map the areas that are earthquake-prone, and are likely to generate earthquakes in the future, but there is no way to predict when.
For Prelims & Mains
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For Prelims: Earthquake, Tectonic plates, Hypocenter, Epicenter, Body waves, Surface waves, P-waves or ‘primary waves’, S-waves or secondary waves, Richter scale, and Seismic waves.
For Mains: 1. What is an Earthquake? How do exactly Earthquakes Occur? Discuss the effects of Earthquakes.
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Previous Year Questions
1.Consider the following: (2013)
Which of the above are responsible for bringing dynamic changes on the surface of the earth? (a) 1, 2, 3 and 4 only |
KUKI-ZOMI TRIBE
The Kuki-Zomi people are a diverse group of ethnicities inhabiting the mountainous regions of Northeast India, Myanmar, and Bangladesh. They share a common ancestry and cultural heritage, and their name reflects this shared identity: "Kuki" is a more general term encompassing various sub-tribes, while "Zomi" is a relatively recent term adopted by some Kuki communities to emphasize their distinct identity and cultural heritage.
- The exact origins of the Kuki-Zomi people remain unclear, but linguistic evidence suggests they migrated from Southeast Asia centuries ago. Today, they are found primarily in the Indian states of Manipur, Mizoram, Assam, Nagaland, and Tripura, as well as in Chin State, Myanmar, and the Chittagong Hill Tracts of Bangladesh.
- The Kuki-Zomi people comprise numerous sub-tribes, each with its own distinct dialect and cultural practices. Some of the major sub-tribes include the Hmar, Thadou, Paite, Gangte, Vaiphei, Zou, Aimol, and Anal. These sub-tribes speak various Kuki-Chin languages, which belong to the Tibeto-Burman language family.
- The Kuki-Zomi people have a rich and vibrant culture characterized by strong communal bonds, traditional music and dance, and colorful handicrafts. Their traditional attire is often adorned with intricate beadwork and embroidery, reflecting their artistic skills and cultural pride.
- The Kuki-Zomi people have faced various challenges throughout their history, including displacement, conflict, and marginalization. However, they have demonstrated remarkable resilience and adaptability, preserving their unique culture and traditions despite these hardships.
- In recent years, the Kuki-Zomi people have made significant strides in education, entrepreneurship, and political representation. They are increasingly active in advocating for their rights and cultural identity, and their contributions to the social and economic development of the regions they inhabit are becoming increasingly recognized.
3. Delisting Proposal in Manipur
- The representation calling for the potential removal of specific Kuki and Zomi tribes from the Scheduled Tribes (ST) list in Manipur stems from the ongoing ethnic conflict that has persisted for eight months.
- This conflict, initiated on May 3, 2023, arose following an order from the Manipur High Court directing the State government to recommend the inclusion of Meiteis in the ST list to the Centre.
- As the Centre now requests the State government to examine the representation for the delisting of Kuki and Zomi tribes, there is a risk of exacerbating existing tensions between the valley-based Meitei people and the hills-based Kuki-Zo (ST) people in the State.
- One significant factor driving the Meiteis' demand for ST status is their inability to own land in the forested hill districts, where only STs are permitted to own land.
- Notably, this marks the first instance where members of the Meitei community are advocating for their inclusion in the ST list by contending that specific Kuki and Zomi tribes should not be part of it.
- This development may also have broader implications for the criteria used to designate groups as Scheduled Tribes, a framework that has remained unchanged since its introduction by the Lokur Commission in 1965.
Key Arguments in the Kuki-Zomi Delisting Proposal
- In Mr. Thounaojam’s representation, objections have been raised against the inclusion of three specific entries in the Scheduled Tribes (ST) list of Manipur namely, “Any Mizo(Lushai) Tribes,” “Zou,” and “Any Kuki Tribes.”
- The primary argument put forth for the exclusion of these entries is that they are not considered "indigenous" to the land of Manipur.
- According to the representation, there is no historical mention of these specific tribes residing in Manipur in pre-Independence Censuses.
- Furthermore, the representation contends that the vagueness surrounding the terms "Any Mizo (Lushai) Tribes" and "Any Kuki Tribes" in the ST list has purportedly facilitated illegal immigrants from Myanmar and Bangladesh in wrongfully obtaining benefits intended for Scheduled Tribes in India.
The Lokur Commission, officially known as the Advisory Committee on the Revision of Lists of Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes, played a significant role in shaping the landscape of tribal communities in India. Established in 1965 by the Government of India. Chaired by Justice N.N. Lokur, a former Chief Justice of India. Tasked with revising the lists of Scheduled Castes (SCs) and Scheduled Tribes (STs) in a rational and scientific manner.
Criteria for Scheduled Tribes:
- The Commission established five key criteria for identifying a community as an ST:
- Primitive Traits and Distinctive Culture
- Geographical Isolation
- Shyness of Contact with the Community at Large
- Backwardness
- Pre-dominantly Tribal Population
Impact on Tribal Communities
- The Lokur Commission's recommendations led to the addition of several new communities to the ST list, granting them access to educational and economic benefits reserved for STs.
- However, the criteria employed, particularly the emphasis on "primitive traits," have been criticized for being outdated, stereotypical, and potentially hindering social progress for tribal communities.
Criticisms and Debates
- The Commission's classification of certain communities as "primitive" has been challenged for being derogatory and inaccurate.
- The criteria used have been accused of being subjective and open to misinterpretation, leading to inconsistencies and exclusion of deserving communities.
- Debates continue regarding the need for revising or even abolishing the existing criteria altogether, with calls for a more nuanced approach based on social, economic, and cultural factors.
Legacy
- Despite the criticisms, the Lokur Commission's work remains influential in the administration of tribal affairs in India.
- Its report and recommendations form the basis for the current ST list and continue to be referenced in discussions about tribal inclusion and development.
- The Commission's legacy highlights the importance of ongoing discussions about the definition of "tribal" identity and the need for criteria that are fair, inclusive, and responsive to the evolving realities of tribal communities in India.
The National Commission for Backward Classes (NCBC) stands as a crucial advocate for the rights and welfare of Other Backward Classes (OBCs) in India. Established in 1993 and elevated to constitutional status in 2018, the NCBC plays a multi-faceted role in ensuring social justice and equality for OBC communities.
Mandate and Responsibilities
- The NCBC probes cases of discrimination and denial of rights due to OBC status. It monitors the implementation of various government policies and schemes aimed at OBC development.
- The Commission regularly assesses the social, educational, and economic advancement of OBCs. It provides recommendations to the government on policies and programs to bridge existing gaps and address emerging challenges.
- Individuals from OBC communities can approach the NCBC with complaints related to violations of their rights or benefits. The Commission takes necessary action to address these grievances and ensure justice.
- The NCBC conducts research on the diverse OBC communities, analyzing their specific needs and vulnerabilities. It promotes awareness about OBC issues and advocates for their inclusive participation in various spheres of Indian society.
Key Achievements
- The NCBC played a significant role in implementing the Right to Education Act (2009) and ensuring reservation quotas for OBC students in educational institutions.
- The Commission has been instrumental in promoting entrepreneurship and skill development programs among OBC communities, leading to greater economic participation and self-reliance.
- The NCBC has consistently pushed for legislation and policy changes that benefit OBCs, such as reservations in government jobs and promotions, access to healthcare, and land rights.
Challenges and Future Directions
- OBCs are a diverse group with varying needs and levels of marginalization. The NCBC faces the challenge of addressing these internal disparities and ensuring inclusivity within its advocacy efforts.
- The Commission often operates with limited resources, hindering its ability to effectively reach out to remote OBC communities and conduct comprehensive research.
- Ensuring proper implementation of the NCBC's recommendations on the ground remains a crucial challenge. Stronger collaboration with state governments and local authorities is essential.
6. Examining Claims of Non-Indigeneity and Misuse
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For Prelims: kuki-zomi tribes, manipur, National Commission for Backward classes, STs, Lokur Commission, Other Backward Classes
For Mains:
1. Discuss the potential political and developmental implications of the proposed delisting. How might it affect land rights, access to resources, and inter-community relations in Manipur? (250 Words)
2. Assess the role of the National Commission for Backward Classes (NCBC) in addressing the complexities of tribal identity and ensuring social justice for marginalized communities. How can the NCBC be strengthened to better address issues like the Kuki-Zomi delisting proposal? (250 Words)
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Previous Year Questions
1. Who was appointed as the head of the OBC Sub-categorisation Commission?
(Maharashtra Talathi 2019)
A. Justice Geeta Mittal
B. Justice Manjula Chellur
C. Justice Tahilramani
D. Justice G. Rohini
2. Which of the following pairs of list and contents is/are correctly matched? (UPSC CAPF 2019)
1. State list Public health and sanitation
2. Union list Citizenship, naturalisation and aliens
3. Concurrent list Legal, medical and other
Select the correct answer using the code given below:
A. 1 only B. 1, 2 and 3 C. 2 and 3 only D. 3 only
Answers:1-D, 2- B
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STRAIT OF HORMUZ
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The Strait of Hormuz is a strategically significant and narrow maritime passage situated between Iran and Oman, serving as a link between the Persian Gulf, the Gulf of Oman, and the Arabian Sea. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has labeled it as the world’s most vital oil transit chokepoint, through which nearly 20% of global liquid petroleum fuels and a substantial portion of LNG trade pass. In May, more than 45% of India’s crude oil imports were estimated to have transited through this strait. Given that India is the third-largest consumer of crude oil globally and imports over 85% of its oil needs, the strait plays a crucial role in its energy security.
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Data from the commodity analytics firm Kpler indicates that, as of June, India has been importing over 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil from Russia, which constitutes more than 41% of its total oil imports.
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While oil imports from the U.S. have shown a steady rise, supplies from West Asian nations such as Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait have remained relatively consistent. Many of these shipments were likely planned prior to the recent escalation in tensions between Israel and Iran, and therefore, may not reflect the impact of the current geopolitical developments.
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Over the past two to three years, India has notably adjusted its oil import strategy. Russia has emerged as India’s top crude supplier, overtaking traditional exporters from West Asia. Importantly, Russian oil bypasses the Strait of Hormuz, as it is mainly transported via alternative sea routes like the Suez Canal and Red Sea, and sometimes through the Cape of Good Hope or Pacific Ocean routes.
- The Strait of Hormuz is commonly considered the most critical maritime chokepoint in the world. It links the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Indian Ocean, serving as a major export corridor for regional oil producers.
- At its narrowest point, it measures only about 21 nautical miles (38 km) across. Under typical conditions, nearly 21 million barrels of oil—around one-fifth of global consumption—flow through it daily.
- Alongside crude oil, substantial quantities of liquefied natural gas from Qatar and the UAE are transported via this passage.
- A significant share, close to 80%, is destined for Asian markets, making countries like India, China, Japan, and South Korea heavily reliant on this route.
- Apart from Hormuz, international trade depends on a few other strategically vital maritime passages, including the Strait of Malacca, Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Suez Canal, and Panama Canal.
- The Strait of Malacca lies between the Malay Peninsula and Indonesia’s Sumatra island and represents the shortest maritime route connecting the Indian Ocean with the South China Sea. This makes it indispensable for trade flows linking West Asia, Africa, and East Asia.
- The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is positioned between the Arabian Peninsula and the Horn of Africa.
- It serves as the southern entrance to the Red Sea, a necessary transit point for vessels heading toward the Suez Canal and onward to the Mediterranean, thereby forming a crucial segment of Asia–Europe trade routes.
- The Suez Canal, a man-made channel across Egypt, connects the Red Sea to the Mediterranean Sea, significantly reducing travel time by eliminating the need to circumnavigate Africa.
- Further west, the Panama Canal cuts through the Isthmus of Panama, linking the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. This strategic shortcut facilitates trade between Asia, the Americas, and Europe, removing the necessity of sailing around South America
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India’s current oil procurement approach already demonstrates a diversified and risk-mitigated strategy, especially in light of uncertainties in West Asian oil routes, with Russian crude now making up the largest share of India’s import basket.
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After recent U.S. air strikes targeting Iranian nuclear sites, Iran’s parliament passed a resolution on Sunday advocating the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital corridor for global oil transportation. The final decision on this move now lies with Iran’s Supreme National Security Council.
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Although Iran has repeatedly issued threats in the past to shut the strait, it has never acted on them. Even in the present context, industry analysts consider the likelihood of an actual blockade to be low. Nevertheless, the increased risk perception surrounding the potential closure is expected to trigger global alarm, including in India, by raising concerns over the security of oil and gas supplies and potentially driving up global energy prices.
- The Israel-Iran conflict poses a significant threat to global oil and gas flows due to the geopolitical sensitivity and strategic location of the region. At the heart of this issue lies the Strait of Hormuz—a narrow but crucial maritime passage through which nearly 20% of the world’s petroleum and a substantial share of liquefied natural gas (LNG) are transported.
- Iran borders this strait and has, over the years, repeatedly threatened to block it during periods of heightened tension, including in response to military actions or sanctions.
- When hostilities between Israel and Iran escalate—such as through air strikes, proxy conflicts, or cyber warfare—it increases the likelihood of retaliation from Iran that could involve disrupting maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.
- Even if Iran does not fully close the strait, the mere threat or perception of such an action is enough to cause volatility in global energy markets. Tanker insurance rates rise, shipping routes are reconsidered, and countries heavily dependent on oil imports, like India, become increasingly vulnerable to supply disruptions and price shocks.
- Furthermore, any military conflict in this region risks damaging key infrastructure such as refineries, pipelines, or export terminals in the broader West Asian region.
- This would constrain oil production and distribution, affecting both the availability and price of crude oil and gas worldwide. Global markets respond quickly to these risks, often resulting in immediate spikes in prices due to concerns over supply security.
- In summary, the Israel-Iran conflict amplifies the risk to global oil and gas flows by potentially destabilizing a region that is central to global energy supply chains. It heightens fears of supply disruptions, increases market speculation, and threatens the economic stability of energy-importing countries, making it a matter of both geopolitical and economic concern
The flow of vessels through major international chokepoints is largely regulated by the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea. According to its provisions, straits that are used for global navigation fall under the concept of “transit passage,” which permits ships and aircraft from all countries to move through them freely, continuously, and without interference.
At the same time, coastal states bordering these straits are allowed to introduce regulations related to safety or environmental protection. However, they are not permitted to block passage or apply discriminatory restrictions on specific vessels. While this freedom of navigation is widely accepted in international law, its practical implementation often depends on the naval capabilities of states and the level of cooperation among them
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For Prelims: Strait of Hormuz, Persian Gulf, Energy Information Administration (EIA), liquefied natural gas (LNG)
For Mains: General Studies II: Effect of policies and politics of developed and developing countries on India’s interests.
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Previous Year Questions
1.Which one of the following straits is nearest to the International Date Line? (UPSC CSE 2008) (a) Malacca Strait (b) Bering Strait (c) Strait of Florida (d) Strait of Gibraltar Answer (b) The International Date Line (IDL) roughly follows the 180° longitude, which lies in the Pacific Ocean, deviating slightly to accommodate international boundaries. The Bering Strait lies between Russia and Alaska, and it is very close to the 180° meridian, making it the closest strait to the International Date Line. Here's why the other options are incorrect:
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MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION

- The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) is one of the most important atmospheric phenomena in the tropical region of the Earth. It is a large-scale pattern of atmospheric circulation characterized by alternating periods of enhanced and suppressed rainfall that travels eastward around the equator.
- Unlike cyclones, which are localized weather systems, or seasonal climate phenomena such as the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the MJO is an atmospheric disturbance that continuously moves across the tropical oceans, influencing weather conditions over vast geographical areas.
- The phenomenon was first identified in 1971 by meteorologists Roland Madden and Paul Julian, after whom it is named. Their research showed that tropical rainfall and atmospheric pressure exhibit a recurring pattern that moves eastward around the globe over a period of about one to two months.
- The MJO originates most frequently over the tropical Indian Ocean, where warm ocean waters provide the energy necessary for the development of deep convection.
- The system then moves eastward across the maritime continent, including Indonesia, into the tropical Pacific Ocean and, on some occasions, continues into the Atlantic Ocean before gradually weakening. The entire cycle generally takes between 30 and 60 days, although it may sometimes extend to nearly 90 days.
- The MJO consists of two distinct phases: the active (enhanced) phase and the suppressed phase. During the active phase, warm, moist air rises from the Earth's surface, leading to the formation of extensive cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and intense thunderstorm activity.
- This upward movement of air releases large amounts of latent heat, strengthening atmospheric circulation. In contrast, the suppressed phase is characterized by sinking air, which inhibits cloud formation and results in clear skies, reduced rainfall, and relatively dry weather conditions.
- As the MJO moves eastward, these two phases travel together, causing alternating wet and dry periods in tropical regions.
- One of the reasons the MJO is scientifically important is that it serves as a bridge between short-term weather events and long-term climate variability.
- While ordinary weather systems usually last for only a few days, and climate phenomena like ENSO persist for several months or even years, the MJO operates on an intra-seasonal timescale, making it highly valuable for forecasting weather several weeks in advance.
- The MJO has a profound influence on the Indian monsoon. When its active phase is located over the tropical Indian Ocean and surrounding regions, convection increases significantly, leading to enhanced monsoon rainfall over India.
- This often results in active monsoon spells with widespread precipitation. Conversely, when the suppressed phase dominates the region, rainfall decreases, leading to weak or break monsoon conditions.
- Therefore, meteorologists closely monitor the MJO to improve monsoon forecasts and assess the likelihood of heavy rainfall or prolonged dry spells.
- The influence of the MJO is not limited to the Indian monsoon. It also plays a major role in the formation and intensification of tropical cyclones over the Indian Ocean, the Pacific Ocean, and even parts of the Atlantic Ocean.
- During its active phase, the atmosphere becomes more unstable, humidity increases, and vertical wind conditions become more favourable for cyclone development. As a result, periods of increased cyclone activity often coincide with the passage of the active MJO phase.
- Apart from affecting tropical weather, the MJO also influences atmospheric circulation in higher latitudes through a process known as teleconnection.
- Changes in tropical convection caused by the MJO can alter jet stream patterns, influencing winter storms, cold waves, heat waves, and heavy rainfall events in regions far away from the tropics, including North America, Europe, and East Asia. Thus, despite being a tropical phenomenon, its impacts extend across the globe.
- The MJO is often confused with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, but the two are fundamentally different.
- The MJO is a moving atmospheric disturbance that travels continuously around the globe and lasts only a few weeks to a couple of months. ENSO, on the other hand, is a coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon centred over the equatorial Pacific Ocean and typically persists for several months to two years or more.
- While ENSO changes sea surface temperatures significantly, the MJO primarily affects atmospheric circulation and rainfall without producing major long-term changes in ocean temperatures.
- An easy way to understand the MJO is to imagine the tropical atmosphere as a giant circular race track. The active phase of the MJO resembles a moving cluster of rain-bearing clouds that travels steadily around this track, bringing heavy rainfall and thunderstorms wherever it passes.
- Behind this active phase follows the suppressed phase, which brings relatively dry and clear weather. This continuous movement creates alternating periods of wet and dry conditions across tropical regions
- The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) has a significant influence on India's weather, particularly the Southwest Monsoon, tropical cyclones, and extreme rainfall events.
- Since the MJO is a moving region of enhanced and suppressed convection (thunderstorm activity), its position relative to India determines whether the country experiences increased rainfall or dry conditions.
- The MJO usually originates over the tropical Indian Ocean and moves eastward across the maritime continent and the Pacific Ocean. When the active phase of the MJO is located over the Indian Ocean and the region surrounding India, it strengthens the upward movement of warm, moist air.
- This leads to increased cloud formation, widespread thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over many parts of the country. As a result, the southwest monsoon becomes more vigorous, producing active monsoon conditions and above-normal rainfall.
- On the other hand, when the suppressed phase of the MJO moves over the Indian Ocean, the atmosphere experiences downward movement of air, reducing cloud formation and rainfall.
- During this period, India often witnesses breaks in the monsoon, where rainfall decreases significantly for several days despite the monsoon season being in progress. Such breaks can affect agricultural activities by reducing soil moisture and delaying crop growth.
- The MJO also influences the onset and progress of the southwest monsoon. A strong active MJO phase over the Indian Ocean during late May or early June can support the timely onset and rapid advancement of the monsoon across the Indian subcontinent.
- Conversely, if the active phase is located far away over the Pacific Ocean during this period, the onset may be delayed or the monsoon may initially remain weak.
- Another important impact of the MJO is on extreme rainfall events. When its active phase coincides with other favourable weather systems such as low-pressure areas or monsoon depressions over the Bay of Bengal or the Arabian Sea, rainfall intensity can increase dramatically.
- This may result in widespread flooding, landslides in mountainous regions, and urban flooding in major cities. Many episodes of exceptionally heavy monsoon rainfall in India have been linked to a strong active phase of the MJO.
- The MJO also plays a crucial role in the formation and intensification of tropical cyclones over the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea. During its active phase, the atmosphere becomes more unstable, humidity increases, and vertical wind conditions become more favourable for cyclone development.
- Consequently, the probability of cyclogenesis and cyclone intensification rises when the active MJO is present over the northern Indian Ocean. In contrast, the suppressed phase generally inhibits cyclone formation by creating less favourable atmospheric conditions.
- India's agricultural sector is particularly sensitive to the MJO because agriculture depends heavily on the distribution of monsoon rainfall.
- An active MJO phase can provide beneficial rainfall for crops such as rice, cotton, sugarcane, and pulses. However, if the rainfall becomes excessive, it may damage standing crops through flooding and waterlogging. Similarly, an extended suppressed phase can reduce rainfall, leading to moisture stress and lower agricultural productivity.
- The MJO also affects temperature patterns across India. During the active phase, increased cloud cover and rainfall generally reduce daytime temperatures and provide relief from heat. During the suppressed phase, clear skies allow greater solar heating, often resulting in hotter daytime conditions and, in some seasons, the development of heat waves.
- Meteorologists in India, especially at the India Meteorological Department, closely monitor the MJO because it is one of the most reliable indicators for extended-range weather forecasting.
- Since the MJO evolves over several weeks, it helps forecasters predict active and weak phases of the monsoon, the likelihood of heavy rainfall, and the potential for tropical cyclone formation about two to four weeks in advance.
- This information is valuable for agriculture, water resource management, disaster preparedness, and reservoir operations.
- The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are two of the most important climate phenomena affecting global weather.
- Although both originate in the tropical regions and influence rainfall, temperature, monsoons, and tropical cyclones, they differ significantly in their nature, duration, movement, and impacts.
- Understanding these differences is essential for interpreting weather and climate variations across the world.
- The Madden–Julian Oscillation is primarily an atmospheric phenomenon. It consists of a moving zone of enhanced and suppressed cloud formation and rainfall that travels eastward around the equator.
- The MJO originates over the tropical Indian Ocean and usually moves across the maritime continent, the tropical Pacific Ocean, and sometimes into the Atlantic Ocean. The complete cycle generally takes 30 to 60 days, making it an intra-seasonal weather phenomenon.
- In contrast, ENSO is a coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon. It develops due to changes in sea surface temperatures and atmospheric pressure across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. ENSO has three phases: El Niño, La Niña, and the neutral phase.
- Unlike the MJO, ENSO does not move continuously around the globe. Instead, it remains centred over the equatorial Pacific Ocean and influences global climate through changes in ocean temperatures and atmospheric circulation.
- An ENSO event typically lasts 9 to 12 months, although some events may continue for nearly two years.
- Another major difference lies in the timescale. The MJO is a short-term oscillation that affects weather patterns over several weeks. Meteorologists use it to forecast rainfall, tropical cyclones, and monsoon activity two to four weeks in advance.
- ENSO, on the other hand, operates over much longer periods and is used for seasonal climate forecasting, helping predict rainfall and temperature anomalies several months ahead.
- The movement of these two phenomena also differs considerably. The MJO is a travelling disturbance that continuously propagates eastward around the equator.
- Wherever its active phase passes, it enhances cloud formation, thunderstorms, and rainfall, while the following suppressed phase brings drier conditions.
- ENSO does not travel in this manner. Instead, it represents large-scale warming (El Niño) or cooling (La Niña) of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, with atmospheric circulation adjusting to these ocean temperature changes.
- The influence of the two systems on the Indian monsoon is also different. A favourable active phase of the MJO over the Indian Ocean can strengthen the southwest monsoon for several weeks, leading to active monsoon spells and heavy rainfall.
- However, once the MJO moves away, its influence diminishes. ENSO affects the overall seasonal strength of the monsoon. During El Niño years, India often experiences weaker monsoon rainfall and an increased likelihood of drought, while La Niña years generally favour stronger monsoon rainfall and wetter-than-normal conditions.
- Although this relationship is not absolute, it remains one of the most important factors influencing India's seasonal rainfall.
- The MJO also has a strong influence on tropical cyclone formation because its active phase creates favourable atmospheric conditions for cyclone development over the Indian Ocean, western Pacific, and other tropical basins.
- ENSO also affects cyclone activity, but mainly by altering ocean temperatures and large-scale wind patterns over an entire cyclone season rather than over a few weeks.
- An important distinction is that the MJO is primarily driven by changes in atmospheric convection, whereas ENSO is driven by interactions between the ocean and the atmosphere, especially variations in sea surface temperatures and trade winds across the Pacific Ocean.
- Although they are different phenomena, the MJO and ENSO can interact with each other. For example, repeated strong MJO events can sometimes influence the evolution of El Niño or La Niña conditions by affecting westerly wind bursts over the Pacific Ocean.
- Similarly, the background conditions created by ENSO can modify the strength and behaviour of the MJO.
- The Southwest Monsoon is the backbone of India's agricultural economy and plays a decisive role in the success of the Kharif cropping season. Kharif crops are sown with the onset of the monsoon, generally during June and July, and harvested between September and October.
- Since a large proportion of India's cultivated land is still dependent on rainfall rather than irrigation, the timing, amount, and distribution of monsoon rainfall directly determine agricultural productivity, food security, and rural livelihoods.
- The southwest monsoon provides nearly 70–75% of India's annual rainfall, making it the primary source of water for agriculture.
- As the monsoon winds reach the Indian subcontinent from the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal, they bring widespread rainfall across most parts of the country.
- This rainfall replenishes soil moisture, enabling farmers to prepare fields and sow Kharif crops such as rice, maize, cotton, soybean, groundnut, millets, pulses, and sugarcane.
- The onset of the southwest monsoon marks the beginning of the Kharif agricultural season.
- A timely arrival allows farmers to sow seeds at the optimum time, ensuring proper germination and healthy crop establishment. If the monsoon is delayed, sowing operations are postponed, shortening the growing season and often reducing crop yields. In severe cases, farmers may have to shift to short-duration or drought-resistant crop varieties.
- Apart from the onset, the distribution of rainfall throughout the season is equally important. Crops require water at different stages of growth, including germination, vegetative growth, flowering, and grain filling.
- Well-distributed rainfall ensures a continuous supply of moisture during these critical stages.
- However, prolonged dry spells or breaks in the monsoon can lead to moisture stress, poor plant growth, and lower productivity.
- Conversely, excessive rainfall within a short period can cause waterlogging, flooding, and root damage, affecting crop health and yield.
- The southwest monsoon is particularly important because nearly half of India's net sown area remains rain-fed, despite significant expansion of irrigation facilities. Farmers in these regions rely almost entirely on monsoon rainfall.
- Consequently, a good monsoon generally leads to higher agricultural production, while a weak or deficient monsoon often results in drought, crop failure, and financial distress among farming communities.
- Monsoon rainfall also replenishes reservoirs, lakes, rivers, ponds, and groundwater aquifers, which provide irrigation water during the later stages of the Kharif season and for the subsequent Rabi cropping season. Adequate reservoir storage ensures sufficient water availability for irrigation, drinking water, hydropower generation, and industrial use throughout the year.
- The performance of the Kharif season has a significant impact on India's food security. Crops such as rice and pulses constitute staple food items for millions of people.
- A successful monsoon leads to higher food grain production, improved food availability, and stable market supplies. In contrast, poor monsoon performance may reduce agricultural output, creating supply shortages and increasing dependence on buffer stocks or imports.
- The southwest monsoon also influences the Indian economy. Agriculture supports a substantial share of the country's population, particularly in rural areas. A normal monsoon generally increases farm incomes, boosts rural demand for goods and services, and supports overall economic growth.
- Conversely, a deficient or erratic monsoon can reduce agricultural income, lower rural consumption, and adversely affect sectors such as fertilizers, farm machinery, consumer goods, and banking.
- The monsoon has an important bearing on inflation, especially food inflation. Good rainfall usually leads to abundant production of cereals, vegetables, fruits, and pulses, helping stabilize food prices. On the other hand, deficient rainfall often reduces agricultural output, leading to higher food prices and contributing to overall inflationary pressures in the economy.
- The southwest monsoon also supports allied activities such as animal husbandry, fisheries, and horticulture. Adequate rainfall improves pasture availability for livestock, replenishes ponds used in inland fisheries, and provides favourable conditions for the cultivation of fruits, vegetables, and plantation crops. Thus, its benefits extend well beyond crop production.
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For Prelims: Indian and World Geography
For Mains: eneral Studies I: Important Geophysical phenomena such as earthquakes, Tsunami, Volcanic activity, cyclone etc
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Previous Year Questions
1.With reference to Ocean Mean Temperature (OMT), which of the following statements is/are correct? (UPSC CSE, 2020)
1. OMT is measured up to a depth of 26ºC isotherm which is 129 meters in the south-western Indian Ocean during January-March. 2. OMT collected during January-March can be used in assessing whether the amount of rainfall in monsoon will be less or more than a certain long-term mean. Select the correct answer using the code given below: (a) 1 only (b) 2 only (c) Both 1 and 2 (d) Neither 1 nor 2 Answer (b)
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ECOLOGICALLY SENSITIVE AREA (ESA)
- An Ecologically Sensitive Area (ESA) is a region that possesses unique and fragile environmental characteristics and therefore requires special protection from activities that could cause irreversible ecological damage.
- These areas are rich in biodiversity, provide important ecosystem services, and often support rare or endangered species of plants and animals.
- Because of their ecological significance, any developmental activities in such regions need to be carefully regulated to ensure that economic growth does not come at the cost of environmental degradation.
- The idea behind declaring an area as ecologically sensitive is not to completely stop human activities, but to strike a balance between conservation and development.
- Certain activities that can have severe environmental impacts—such as mining, quarrying, large-scale industries, thermal power plants, or extensive deforestation—are either prohibited or strictly regulated.
- At the same time, sustainable activities like agriculture, horticulture, eco-tourism, and traditional livelihoods are generally encouraged so that local communities can continue to benefit from the resources without destroying them.
- In India, the concept of Ecologically Sensitive Areas derives from the provisions of the Environment (Protection) Act, 1986. The Central Government can notify such areas to provide them with an additional layer of protection.
- A notable example is the Western Ghats, one of the world's eight “hottest hotspots” of biodiversity.
- Parts of the Western Ghats have been proposed and notified as Ecologically Sensitive Areas to preserve their rich flora and fauna, maintain water security, regulate climate, and ensure the long-term sustainability of the ecosystem
- Maharashtra has the highest number of Eco-Sensitive Zones (ESZs) in India. The Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (MoEFCC) has identified and notified the maximum number of ecologically sensitive zones in the state under the provisions of the Environment (Protection) Act, 1986.
- This is primarily because Maharashtra has a large number of protected areas, including national parks, wildlife sanctuaries, and tiger reserves, many of which lie within the biodiversity-rich Western Ghats.
- The state's varied landscapes and rich flora and fauna necessitate the creation of numerous buffer zones to protect these ecosystems from harmful developmental activities
- The Forest Survey of India (FSI) is the apex national institution functioning under the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (MoEFCC) and is entrusted with the periodic assessment and monitoring of the country’s forest resources.
- Besides conducting forest inventories, the organization also undertakes training, research, and extension activities.
- Established on June 1, 1981, FSI replaced the Pre-investment Survey of Forest Resources (PISFR), which had been launched in 1965 by the Government of India with support from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
- In November 2013, acting on the recommendations of the Kasturirangan Committee, the Central Government invoked the provisions of the Environment (Protection) Act, 1986 to restrict the establishment and expansion of activities such as mining, quarrying, sand extraction, thermal power projects, large-scale construction, townships, and highly polluting red-category industries.
- The issuance of final Ecologically Sensitive Area (ESA) notifications further strengthens the legal framework aimed at safeguarding these environmentally fragile regions.
The proposed Ecologically Sensitive Area (ESA) in the Western Ghats spans six states. Based on the recommendations of the Kasturirangan Committee, approximately 56,825 sq. km of the Western Ghats has been identified for demarcation as ESA. These states are:
- Gujarat
- Maharashtra
- Goa
- Karnataka
- Kerala
- Tamil Nadu
Among these, the largest proposed ESA area lies in Karnataka (20,668 sq. km), followed by Maharashtra (17,340 sq. km) and Kerala (about 9,993 sq. km)
6. Where do the Western Ghats stretch from?

- The Western Ghats, also known as the Sahyadri Hills, form a continuous mountain chain running parallel to the western coast of India.
- They stretch for about 1,600 kilometres from the Tapti (Tapi) River valley in Gujarat in the north to Kanyakumari in Tamil Nadu at the southern tip of the Indian peninsula.
- Along their course, they pass through six states—Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Karnataka, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu.
- The mountain range covers an area of approximately 1,60,000 sq. km and acts as a major watershed, giving rise to several important peninsular rivers such as the Godavari, Krishna, Kaveri, and Tungabhadra.
- Owing to their exceptional biodiversity and high degree of endemism, the Western Ghats are recognized as one of the world's eight "hottest hotspots" of biodiversity and have been designated as a UNESCO World Heritage Site
- The Western Ghats are one of the world's eight "hottest hotspots" of biological diversity. They host over 7,400 species of flowering plants, 139 mammal species, 508 bird species, 179 amphibian species, 6,000 insect species, and 290 freshwater fish species, many of which are endemic.
- A significant proportion of the species found in the Western Ghats are endemic, meaning they are not found anywhere else in the world. This includes many unique species of plants, animals, and microorganisms
- The region provides crucial ecosystem services, such as water purification, climate regulation, soil stabilization, and carbon sequestration
- The Western Ghats play a critical role in the Indian monsoon system. They intercept the moisture-laden winds from the southwest, causing heavy rainfall on the western side, which supports lush forests and agriculture
- The forests of the Western Ghats act as a climate buffer, moderating temperatures and maintaining regional climate stability
- The Western Ghats are the source of numerous rivers, including the Godavari, Krishna, and Cauvery, which provide water to millions of people in peninsular India. These rivers are crucial for drinking water, irrigation, and hydropower
- The Western Ghats are home to numerous indigenous communities and tribal groups who have lived in harmony with the environment for centuries. These communities have rich cultural traditions and knowledge systems linked to the forests and biodiversity
- Many areas in the Western Ghats are considered sacred by local communities and host numerous temples, shrines, and pilgrimage sites.
- The Western Ghats support diverse agricultural systems, including spice plantations (pepper, cardamom), tea, coffee, and rubber. These crops are economically significant both domestically and for export
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For Prelims: Western Ghats, Eastern Ghats, Landslides, Flash floods
For Mains: GS 1 - Indian Geography
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Previous year questions1. Which of the following statements in respect of landslides are correct? (NDA 2022) 1. These occur only on gentle slopes during rain.
2. They generally occur in clay-rich soil.
3. Earthquakes trigger landslides.
Select the correct answer using the code given below. A. 1 and 2 B. 2 and 3 C. 1 and 3 D. 1, 2 and 3 Answer: (B) For Mains: 1. Describe the various causes and the effects of landslides. Mention the important components of the National Landslide Risk Management Strategy. (250 words) (2021)
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